ANALYSTS' ESTIMATES is where analysts, stockbrokers and banks give opinions and forecasts (often referred to as estimates) as to future company performance. Broker recommendations and other data are provided by Barra's Global Estimates service. BARRA collate and analyze the brokers' forecasts, and calculate consensus figures from the individual data.
REASONABLENESS TEST is where the expected value is determined by reference to data partly or wholly independent of the accounting information system, and for that reason, evidence obtained through the application of such a test may be more reliable than evidence gathered using other analytical procedures.
MODEL A Z-SCORE (For Private Manufacturer) Model A is appropriated for a private manufacturing firm. Model A should not be applied to other companies. A Z-Score of 2.90 or above indicates that bankruptcy in not likely, buyt a Z-Score of 1.23 or below is a strong indicator that bankruptcy is likely. Probabilities of bankruptcy within the above ranges are 95% for one year and 70% within two years. Obviously a higher Z-Score is desirable.
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